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Football dropping odds statistics

Below you can find statistics for dropping odds in football matches, based on our data for 74511 bets since 10th January 2015. The stats will be a great help in deciding whether to bet on the dropping odds or not, and what strategy to adopt.

Last 10 football dropping odds

The first table contains the latest 10 results of the bets on the dropping odds from our website. Each bet was calculated as placed with the market trend - on the outcome on which the drop has been noticed. The profit is calculated using a flat stake of 100 units for each bet and the best odds available.

Last 10 dropping odds results
Match Bet typeDropBest oddsProfit
Kufu 98 - GBK Kokkola 1 -15.10% 2.18   5Dimes 118.00
Sporting Cristal - Universitario de Deportes 2 ht -15.88% 3.55   888Sport 255.00
Philadelphia Union - Columbus Crew 2 -14.20% 2.91   Pinnacle -100.00
Buchbach - 1860 Munchen U 1.5 -25.80% 6.89   OddsRing 589.00
Baltika Kaliningrad - Tambov 2 -21.27% 3.25   5Dimes -100.00
Krylya Sovetov - Tom Tomsk 2 -15.08% 15.92   Pinnacle 1492.00
Zenit St. Petersburg II - Sibir Novosibirsk 2 -20.81% 3.25   Bet365 -100.00
Olimpiets - Khimki FK 2 -14.72% 2.95   Marathon -100.00
Volgar Astrakhan - Luch Energiya AH1(-0.50) -15.14% 1.62   188Bet 62.00
Utenis Utena - Atlantas Klaipe O 1.5 ht -15.53% 2.80   888Sport -100.00
Last updated: 27 July 2017 20:15:00.

Differences between bet types

Have you ever wondered whether there are differences in winning bets on dropping odds depending on different type of bets? The table below shows that such differences exist and they are huge.

Dropping odds by bet type
Bet typeAvg dropAvg winning oddsWin rateROI
Home win -20.08% 2.18 44.16% -3.68%
Draw -18.16% 4.05 24.65% -0.07%
Away win -20.75% 3.15 30.51% -3.81%
Half time home win -18.31% 2.66 33.09% -12.10%
Half time draw -21.49% 2.23 45.00% 0.41%
Half time away win -19.02% 3.83 23.87% -8.66%
Under 2.5 goals -16.88% 1.94 51.83% 0.31%
Over 2.5 goals -16.29% 1.73 54.05% -6.52%
Home win or draw -17.96% 1.55 58.65% -8.89%
Draw or away win -17.97% 1.82 52.81% -3.78%
Home win or away win -37.40% 1.25 82.35% 2.91%
Half time under 1.5 goals -20.15% 1.47 59.14% -13.08%
Half time over 1.5 goals -17.33% 2.44 38.90% -4.98%
Under 1.5 goals -17.63% 3.33 29.82% -0.60%
Over 1.5 goals -21.16% 1.23 80.00% -1.57%
Under 3.5 goals -17.69% 1.47 63.19% -7.28%
Over 3.5 goals -18.58% 2.82 34.75% -2.18%
Home team handicap -18.06% 1.91 55.39% -3.85%
Away team handicap -17.97% 1.90 57.45% -2.26%
Half time home handicap -15.87% 1.81 58.49% -6.14%
Half time away handicap -16.22% 1.82 69.51% 1.13%
Avg drop - Average drop for a given bet type
Avg winning odds - Average odds of winning bets
Win rate - Percentage of won bets
ROI - Return on investment: Profits / Investment. Flat stake for each bet of 100 units.

Last updated: 27 July 2017 20:15:00.

The bigger isn't always the better

You may heard somewhere, that the bigger is the better. However, our data show this isn't true for betting on dropping odds. Just look at the table below and you will find out a win rate for different drop ranges.

Dropping odds by drop range
Drop rangeWin rateROI
From 0% to -5% 54.05% 7.82%
From -5% to -10% 44.54% -5.36%
From -10% to -15% 44.94% -4.72%
From -15% to -20% 44.56% -4.45%
From -20% to -25% 43.95% -4.25%
From -25% to -30% 42.93% 0.05%
More than -30% 41.34% -2.02%
Win rate - Percentage of won bets
ROI - Return on investment: Profits / Investment. Flat stake for each bet of 100 units.

Last updated: 27 July 2017 20:15:00.

Is time important?

The betting odds drop at different moments. Sometimes it's a few days before the match, but other times just before the game. Does it really matter? Take a look at the table below to find out.

Dropping odds by time to a match
Time rangeWin rateROI
Less than 15 minutes 44.2% -0.06%
15 - 30 minutes 44.29% -4.87%
30 - 45 minutes 45.85% -3.83%
45 - 60 minutes 45.74% -6.59%
1 - 2 hours 49.07% -3.83%
2 - 4 hours 46.86% -4.59%
4 - 8 hours 43.72% -8.69%
8 - 12 hours 43.08% -7.04%
12 - 24 hours 42.6% -10.82%
24 - 48 hours 41.98% -8.36%
More than 48 hours 39.82% -6.16%
Win rate - Percentage of won bets
ROI - Return on investment: Profits / Investment. Flat stake for each bet of 100 units.

Last updated: 27 July 2017 20:15:00.