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Football dropping odds statistics

Below you can find statistics for dropping odds in football matches, based on our data for 66895 bets since 10th January 2015. The stats will be a great help in deciding whether to bet on the dropping odds or not, and what strategy to adopt.

Last 10 football dropping odds

The first table contains the latest 10 results of the bets on the dropping odds from our website. Each bet was calculated as placed with the market trend - on the outcome on which the drop has been noticed. The profit is calculated using a flat stake of 100 units for each bet and the best odds available.

Last 10 dropping odds results
Match Bet typeDropBest oddsProfit
The Strongest - Real Potosi AH1(-2.00) -18.39% 2.15   Pinnacle 115.00
Mineros Guayana - Portuguesa Acarigua O 3.5 -15.34% 3.20   BetVictor -100.00
Estudiantes Merida - Carabobo 1 -18.08% 3.50   Marathon -100.00
Deportivo La Coruna - Real Madrid 1 -16.08% 8.50   SportingBet -100.00
Metropolitanos - Trujillanos U 1.5 -15.34% 3.46   Marathon 246.00
Middlesbrough - Sunderland 2 -12.31% 3.60   WilliamHill -100.00
Arsenal - Leicester 2 -16.90% 6.50   Marathon -100.00
Hibernian - Raith Rovers AH2(+1.25) -17.09% 1.65   Pinnacle 32.50
Leganes - Las Palmas AH1(-2.50) -39.75% 4.50   Unibet 350.00
Valencia - Real Sociedad 2 -17.31% 2.66   OddsRing 166.00
Last updated: 27 April 2017 16:15:00.

Differences between bet types

Have you ever wondered whether there are differences in winning bets on dropping odds depending on different type of bets? The table below shows that such differences exist and they are huge.

Dropping odds by bet type
Bet typeAvg dropAvg winning oddsWin rateROI
Home win -20.31% 2.19 44.09% -3.22%
Draw -18.47% 4.05 24.29% -1.52%
Away win -21.01% 3.14 30.31% -4.74%
Half time home win -18.51% 2.65 33.39% -11.44%
Half time draw -22.49% 2.24 46.15% 3.49%
Half time away win -19.23% 3.83 23.72% -9.11%
Under 2.5 goals -17.14% 1.92 51.87% -0.55%
Over 2.5 goals -16.59% 1.73 54.63% -5.46%
Home win or draw -18.20% 1.56 58.37% -9.02%
Draw or away win -18.21% 1.83 52.35% -4.37%
Home win or away win -39.93% 1.26 80.65% 1.77%
Half time under 1.5 goals -20.62% 1.47 58.62% -13.98%
Half time over 1.5 goals -17.72% 2.45 39.44% -3.40%
Under 1.5 goals -17.86% 3.29 30.20% -0.55%
Over 1.5 goals -22.07% 1.23 77.97% -3.88%
Under 3.5 goals -18.42% 1.45 62.60% -9.07%
Over 3.5 goals -18.84% 2.83 34.85% -1.40%
Home team handicap -18.09% 1.88 56.30% -3.16%
Away team handicap -18.04% 1.88 57.90% -2.32%
Half time home handicap -16.04% 1.80 58.64% -5.64%
Half time away handicap -16.34% 1.82 69.16% 0.41%
Avg drop - Average drop for a given bet type
Avg winning odds - Average odds of winning bets
Win rate - Percentage of won bets
ROI - Return on investment: Profits / Investment. Flat stake for each bet of 100 units.

Last updated: 27 April 2017 16:15:00.

The bigger isn't always the better

You may heard somewhere, that the bigger is the better. However, our data show this isn't true for betting on dropping odds. Just look at the table below and you will find out a win rate for different drop ranges.

Dropping odds by drop range
Drop rangeWin rateROI
From 0% to -5% 53.33% 7.76%
From -5% to -10% 44.27% -6.35%
From -10% to -15% 45.05% -4.13%
From -15% to -20% 44.78% -4.34%
From -20% to -25% 44.01% -4.76%
From -25% to -30% 42.93% -0.39%
More than -30% 40.98% -3.11%
Win rate - Percentage of won bets
ROI - Return on investment: Profits / Investment. Flat stake for each bet of 100 units.

Last updated: 27 April 2017 16:15:00.

Is time important?

The betting odds drop at different moments. Sometimes it's a few days before the match, but other times just before the game. Does it really matter? Take a look at the table below to find out.

Dropping odds by time to a match
Time rangeWin rateROI
Less than 15 minutes 44.11% -0.08%
15 - 30 minutes 43.82% -6.26%
30 - 45 minutes 46.29% -3.77%
45 - 60 minutes 45.86% -6.29%
1 - 2 hours 49.69% -3.03%
2 - 4 hours 47.03% -4.54%
4 - 8 hours 44.04% -9.12%
8 - 12 hours 43.27% -7.37%
12 - 24 hours 42.81% -11.22%
24 - 48 hours 42.29% -8.12%
More than 48 hours 39.79% -5.41%
Win rate - Percentage of won bets
ROI - Return on investment: Profits / Investment. Flat stake for each bet of 100 units.

Last updated: 27 April 2017 16:15:00.